Saturday, January 8, 2011

Diyquantitative Analysis

again over the dead birds



Although oddly enough I still bundled with bird deaths (follow this link to see the entry: of biblical plagues and radioactive releases ). The saga began in Arkansas information, followed by Louisiana and Sweden and is now in Italy. It seems that the citizens For many journalists, the reasons that we scientists are not convinced. And as a button, you only have to read the 200 messages sent to Pedro Cáceres article in El Mundo has also been reproduced and cited in almost all Latin American countries ( follow this link to read ).

The main arguments are:

1) "Habitual? I've never heard of mass deaths of animals
2) How to explain death in a few days and in such different places?
3) How to explain death in a few days and in places so close?
4) Supposing that the birds have collided, as scientists say, how to explain that the fish in Maryland also had hit?
5) In my town, bad weather and hail and I've never found 3,000 birds in the door of my house.
6) Is it the first time they use firecrackers in Arkansas?
7) Do not use fireworks in the world?
8) How to explain that only one species has died?
9) How to explain that the Arkansas technicians collect birds with gas masks (actually it does not instill confidence in the population)?
10) They have been poisoned and do not want people to know and so we have it from shocks

The hypothesis which most are shuffled among citizens who follow the news are:
1) The social control based on extinctions led
2) The uncontrolled chemical tests
3) The radioactive releases
4) Instilling fear as a weapon of emotional control the population
5)
poisoning 6) Be premonitory of Revelation

Well, let's see if we can bring some sanity and science in this welter of questions.

The first concepts that need to be clear is that the death of more or less massive wildlife is common and is not always due to the same cause. Unfortunately, in Spain do not have a centralized registry of mortality events (to see if we demand it), but in the U.S. if I have, is public and accessible on the network. Anyone can read the quarterly reports conducted since 1995 ( follow this link) or even viewed on a map ( follow this other link.)


In the picture above you can see the 26 episodes of more or less massive deaths collected by the USGS over the past nine months, which also include Arkansas episode 900 deaths by drowning raptors in Florida in November.


In these blogs, you can see that since these events are recorded (1995) Mass mortality of wildlife is commonplace (although the media have not reflected) and further that each mortality event has a different cause. Thus, the killing of birds of Arkansas were killed by colliding against the houses, trees, power lines and the soil itself, while fish from Maryland were killed by a rapid temperature drop in an area with a large concentration of such fry and Jay Apperson spokesman confirmed to Reuters on Thursday. This explains the first four arguments.

The fifth argument shows that we only believe what we see. In this case one can say that these episodes are common but not common. Luckily for wildlife, we have a weekly episode of mass mortality in each one of our cities. As we have seen there have been 26 in all United States over the past nine months. While it is true that occur much more that we are not able to detect. In any case, it is common for imperial eagles hunt rabbits and I've never seen one catch one, and that they live where there are golden eagles and rabbits.

Arguments 6 and 7. It seems that in Beebe (Arkansas) are not allowed to use professional fireworks new year and that do not normally use (this has been an illegal use.) In any case, the fact that Arkansas for the use of fireworks around the roost was the trigger for this tragic event does not mean that every time someone throw a firecracker going to happen the same. Here there were several special circumstances: 1) Use high explosives near a roost, 2) have thousands of roosting birds were frightened, 3) dark, 4) have thunderstorm and 5) die in the midst of a people. Usually many firecrackers are used throughout the world but do not usually show these situations. Moral: do not use fireworks and if you use them or try not to disturb your neighbors or wildlife.

Arkansas For most of the bodies belonged to one species because the roost was bothered by the fireworks was essentially monospecific. In general, the species that winter large flocks are usually one or very few species. Furthermore, in the case of roosts with more than one species, when flying in groups often differ according to species. This explains the argument 8. 9

The argument, in my opinion, is explained by the fact that Beebe technicians have anti-gas masks between your computer (I assure you that if this happens in my town as much municipal technicians have a handkerchief put it in front of the mouth) and the fact that these technicians at first know the causes of death.

The final argument does not hold for two reasons: 1) the laboratories that analyze samples have nothing to hide and 2) at other times there have been massive poisoning and authorities have not hidden, so I doubt they did this ( follow this link to view ). Final conclusion


If any other journalist asks me if these deaths could be the prelude to the Apocalypse, and I have prepared my response: " These deaths are common events and there is no scientific study to suspect Apoclipsis proximity, but if there are many studies that tell us that if we do not halt the rise in average global temperature or do not stop the loss of biodiversity, life on this planet will not be even remotely similar to what we know . "

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